Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 1230.351425 1418.424130 1635.234991 1905.887529 2237.837532 2635.808800 3.155337e+03
2024-12-29 971.324518 1209.217850 1513.358285 1939.497767 2535.910429 3364.764136 4.649214e+03
2025-01-05 805.549291 1048.070062 1377.519008 1872.895540 2627.420856 3786.156985 5.818638e+03
2025-01-12 695.145024 935.235865 1276.982693 1820.420214 2707.513379 4190.808682 7.098365e+03
2025-01-19 610.878897 843.929332 1188.284321 1761.515258 2753.336395 4539.058152 8.412167e+03
2025-01-26 576.931228 819.927265 1193.769599 1848.332093 3058.099735 5433.470577 1.126877e+04
2025-02-02 541.575279 788.277720 1181.099580 1899.782359 3308.628223 6305.751273 1.461895e+04
2025-02-09 510.557474 759.146955 1167.432303 1945.149910 3556.533728 7262.302667 1.890287e+04
2025-02-16 474.919225 718.280089 1128.069706 1934.823521 3685.499149 7990.929280 2.312818e+04
2025-02-23 454.686877 700.669892 1126.473344 1996.426365 3987.214623 9287.771790 3.074090e+04
2025-03-02 434.277516 680.473407 1117.345785 2040.616017 4260.581015 10640.720642 4.046035e+04
2025-03-09 412.176464 655.091464 1095.414596 2053.769002 4461.504974 11882.268593 5.176892e+04
2025-03-16 384.652425 619.239391 1052.760699 2022.170971 4559.754275 12924.815905 6.478653e+04
2025-03-23 367.189326 600.357635 1041.495100 2061.336180 4872.141302 14982.007748 9.144596e+04
2025-03-30 340.477950 561.873576 986.702075 1988.963376 4840.991647 15686.365311 1.096755e+05
2025-04-06 318.057682 529.650853 941.336742 1932.270897 4843.811334 16566.192859 1.343776e+05
2025-04-13 297.216841 498.848616 895.915471 1868.635610 4809.153956 17279.062230 1.618704e+05
2025-04-20 291.816500 497.307722 911.613517 1962.436141 5325.880483 21212.200245 2.765538e+05
2025-04-27 283.515703 489.327408 912.539319 2018.074306 5736.599503 25100.682248 4.615761e+05
2025-05-04 275.246111 480.701811 911.059623 2067.164552 6147.150930 29591.090575 8.132580e+05
2025-05-11 263.367610 463.851931 889.397047 2055.988382 6321.402196 32745.307205 1.283306e+06
2025-05-18 257.470924 458.831999 894.249052 2122.681672 6849.562460 39626.808330 2.938094e+06
2025-05-25 250.686772 451.428321 892.755234 2170.553643 7324.196959 47163.060876 7.712640e+06